As various financial institutions fall by the wayside, will Dr. Muhammad Yunus’ microcredit program hold its own against the onslaught of the on-going global economic turmoil?
By: Ringo Bones
Even though Dr. Muhammad Yunus’ Grameen Bank and the microcredit / microfinance program that it fostered could trace its beginnings back in 1982, it is only after Dr. Yunus won the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize that his poverty elimination scheme gained worldwide fame. He even gained fame as the “Banker to the Poor”. The underlying success of Grameen Bank’s microcredit / microfinance program has been – according to Dr. Yunus’ own words is that: “poor people can, and do, repay loans”. As a poverty elimination scheme that is congruent with the long established global financial system, Dr. Yunus is largely credited with making microfinance / microcredit a socially responsible and viable business model.
When the global credit crunch went full steam during the last quarter of 2008, many have wondered whether Dr. Muhammad Yunus’ novel poverty elimination “financial company” could become insolvent. After all, he conscientiously made his microfinance / microcredit program’s business model congruent with the established global financial system. But the program’s 98% payment / payback rate has been it’s saving grace during increasingly tough economic times. Even the fledgling Grameen Bank America that started serving the “financially depressed” parts of New York City back in January 2008 seems to be holding its own, despite of scores of banks teetering on the brink just a stone’s throw away from Grameen Bank America’s offices.
As the global credit market seems to be currently grinding to a halt, an overwhelming majority of microfinance / microcredit schemes modeled after the ones established by Dr. Yunus seem to be holding their own, which is very fortunate for the rest of us because financial companies that provide microfinance / microcredit loans are very vital in developing countries as they are – more often than not – the only source of small business loans and start-up capital loans. Surprisingly, it works even better than the dysfunctional foreign aid system whose own rigmarole is powerless against white-collar corruption. In the long-term, microfinance / microcredit schemes could be a more economically viable way out of poverty - even foreign aid dependency – in developing nations.
Dr. Muhammad Yunus’ Grameen Bank has even been wholeheartedly welcomed in the Islamic World due to its adherence of Sharia Banking Laws – i.e. the use of tangible / concrete assets as collateral. Plus, the money provided by these microfinance / microcredit schemes are used in bricks and mortar business establishments like fish and vegetable markets – even if the bricks and mortar more often than not are just twigs and thatched straws. Nonetheless, these are far more tangible than those overly complex credit derivatives designed by financial engineers in leading American Ivy League institutions.
Showing posts with label Recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Recession. Show all posts
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Monday, February 2, 2009
Recession v. Super Bowl XLIII
For many years, the NFL Super Bowl Sunday has been an American institution in more ways than one. Will the current economic recession be its downfall?
By: Ringo Bones
More than just an end-of-season finale for the NFL, the American Super Bowl Sunday has for years been a magnet for multi-million dollar 30-second advertising slots. But the slow inexorable creep of the on-going global recession began to manifest itself in America in a dramatic way during the second half of 2008 via layoffs and stock market free-fall. Will this inevitably ruin the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII?
Big-time sports advertising in America has always been about profits and ease of moneymaking. When the crude oil tycoon J. Paul Getty started the cable-based sports channel ESPN, you can be sure that he’s not doing it for humanitarian reasons. Given that the “R” word – that is recession – has already behaving like Frankenstein’s monster set loose on an unsuspecting public, will it eventually take down one of the most hallowed American of institutions – that is the Super Bowl Sunday?
The on-going global economic downturn has finally make itself felt on American soil when a week before Super Bowl Sunday – the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII in Tampa, Florida. According to NBC there are still four 30-second advertising slots that remained vacant. Whereas in the past, 30-second advertising slots – despite costing millions of dollars – are snapped up by interested parties as soon as they are made available. Does the vacant advertising slots point out – especially during the Super Bowl – that America is now indeed in a deep recession?
In spite of all the doom and gloom, the hallowed institution of the American Super Bowl Sunday still managed to provide a refuge for die hard fans to forget, just for a moment at least, the on-going global economic downturn. If Americans still manage to have a good time in spite of a “relatively austere” Super Bowl – in advertising terms at least. Then, the Super Bowl, together with the die-hard fans, can safely manage to hold on for things to get better – even though it means spending more money.
By: Ringo Bones
More than just an end-of-season finale for the NFL, the American Super Bowl Sunday has for years been a magnet for multi-million dollar 30-second advertising slots. But the slow inexorable creep of the on-going global recession began to manifest itself in America in a dramatic way during the second half of 2008 via layoffs and stock market free-fall. Will this inevitably ruin the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII?
Big-time sports advertising in America has always been about profits and ease of moneymaking. When the crude oil tycoon J. Paul Getty started the cable-based sports channel ESPN, you can be sure that he’s not doing it for humanitarian reasons. Given that the “R” word – that is recession – has already behaving like Frankenstein’s monster set loose on an unsuspecting public, will it eventually take down one of the most hallowed American of institutions – that is the Super Bowl Sunday?
The on-going global economic downturn has finally make itself felt on American soil when a week before Super Bowl Sunday – the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII in Tampa, Florida. According to NBC there are still four 30-second advertising slots that remained vacant. Whereas in the past, 30-second advertising slots – despite costing millions of dollars – are snapped up by interested parties as soon as they are made available. Does the vacant advertising slots point out – especially during the Super Bowl – that America is now indeed in a deep recession?
In spite of all the doom and gloom, the hallowed institution of the American Super Bowl Sunday still managed to provide a refuge for die hard fans to forget, just for a moment at least, the on-going global economic downturn. If Americans still manage to have a good time in spite of a “relatively austere” Super Bowl – in advertising terms at least. Then, the Super Bowl, together with the die-hard fans, can safely manage to hold on for things to get better – even though it means spending more money.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Did Keynesian Economics Kill the Business Cycle?
Not so long ago, economists resigned themselves to the fact that recession is just a part of the economic cycle. Then came John Maynard Keynes who shattered that dogma and revolutionized the science of economics. Will “Keynesian Economics” save us from the harmful effects of the business cycle?
By: Ringo Bones and Vanessa Uy
Despite the problems affecting our global economy like sub prime mortgage exposure and the worrying trend of economic recession, we often tend to forget the fact that business conditions have always been fluid and dynamic. One year, the markets are booming and bullish with jobs aplenty. Another year, the stock market goes into a free fall, and bankruptcy courts become more crowded than the Tokyo Subway at rush hour. As chronicled in our economic history books: recession, expansion, then recession follows a sequential saga. And in the memory of the bad old days of ruthless capitalism that brought us Black Tuesday – October 29, 1929 – the day the stock market crashed. Tales chronicling the “Great Depression” even mentioned about banks failing by the thousands and a very drastic slowdown of the US economy that weeds started to grow on the materialistic self-complacent provincialism of Main Street.
America’s post-World War II economy which is largely – if not totally – governed by the principles laid out by John Maynard Keynes in the hopes of making the 1929 “Black Tuesday” incident just an ugly footnote of the American economic history. Thus in the United States, pure capitalism has gradually given way to a mixed economy, in which the government shapes the tax and fiscal policies to stabilize the ups and downs of business. “Keynesian Economics” which is viewed by “conservative” Americans with disdain because it tends to undermine the Protestant / Calvinist work ethic that helped built the American nation, which in turn downgrades productivity. Government “over regulation” of industries like the savings and loans has resulted only in disaster. Despite of it’s detractors, the economic policies laid out by John Maynard Keynes gain widespread praise by economists for keeping a full-blown economic depression from ever happening again. But as the Federal Reserve Board acts to control the money supply and counteract the business cycle, can we really conclude that recessions are a thing of the past?
But economists tend to forget that economics – in general – is primarily greed driven. The promise of rich rewards / gains despite atrocious levels of risks is what makes traders take foolhardy decisions at the expense of their representative investors’ funds. And yet we can take real comfort in the fact that economic recessions are milder in the “Keynesian Mixed Economy” environment than they where under the pre - New Deal capitalism. And if they occur, post – World War II economic recessions are also shorter in duration and much rarer in occurrence. Let’s just hope that our current post – sub prime mortgage / credit crunch 2008 will follow this trend. Maybe the “worries” that made our grandparents and great grandparents gray and wrinkled is something that the under 25s will scarcely know.
By: Ringo Bones and Vanessa Uy
Despite the problems affecting our global economy like sub prime mortgage exposure and the worrying trend of economic recession, we often tend to forget the fact that business conditions have always been fluid and dynamic. One year, the markets are booming and bullish with jobs aplenty. Another year, the stock market goes into a free fall, and bankruptcy courts become more crowded than the Tokyo Subway at rush hour. As chronicled in our economic history books: recession, expansion, then recession follows a sequential saga. And in the memory of the bad old days of ruthless capitalism that brought us Black Tuesday – October 29, 1929 – the day the stock market crashed. Tales chronicling the “Great Depression” even mentioned about banks failing by the thousands and a very drastic slowdown of the US economy that weeds started to grow on the materialistic self-complacent provincialism of Main Street.
America’s post-World War II economy which is largely – if not totally – governed by the principles laid out by John Maynard Keynes in the hopes of making the 1929 “Black Tuesday” incident just an ugly footnote of the American economic history. Thus in the United States, pure capitalism has gradually given way to a mixed economy, in which the government shapes the tax and fiscal policies to stabilize the ups and downs of business. “Keynesian Economics” which is viewed by “conservative” Americans with disdain because it tends to undermine the Protestant / Calvinist work ethic that helped built the American nation, which in turn downgrades productivity. Government “over regulation” of industries like the savings and loans has resulted only in disaster. Despite of it’s detractors, the economic policies laid out by John Maynard Keynes gain widespread praise by economists for keeping a full-blown economic depression from ever happening again. But as the Federal Reserve Board acts to control the money supply and counteract the business cycle, can we really conclude that recessions are a thing of the past?
But economists tend to forget that economics – in general – is primarily greed driven. The promise of rich rewards / gains despite atrocious levels of risks is what makes traders take foolhardy decisions at the expense of their representative investors’ funds. And yet we can take real comfort in the fact that economic recessions are milder in the “Keynesian Mixed Economy” environment than they where under the pre - New Deal capitalism. And if they occur, post – World War II economic recessions are also shorter in duration and much rarer in occurrence. Let’s just hope that our current post – sub prime mortgage / credit crunch 2008 will follow this trend. Maybe the “worries” that made our grandparents and great grandparents gray and wrinkled is something that the under 25s will scarcely know.
Monday, March 10, 2008
The Flavors of Recession
As we ring in 2008 with apprehension over the sub prime mortgage crisis and credit crunch that plagued the US economy during the latter half of 2007, the question remains: Is the US economy already in recession?
By: Ringo Bones and Vanessa Uy
One time honored wisdom states that if America sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold. A colorful phrase used to describe economic recession and the primary reason why the rest of the world lives in fear – especially countries who exports most of their products to the US - every time the US economy heads into a downturn. But come 2008, the question on everyone’s minds still remains: Is the US economy already in recession?
But what is an economic recession? Who decides? For years, the press and the Las Vegas odds-makers had adopted this simple pragmatic definition: When the real Gross National Product (total value of all goods and services, corrected for inflationary price rises) declines for two quarters (6 months) in a row – that is an economic recession. This rough definition is adequate for most purposes, and surely more “refined” than its "blue collar" counterpart which states: When your neighbor looses his job, its only economic slowdown, when you loose your job, it’s a full blown economic recession.
Another definition of economic recession that is formulated by The National Bureau of Economic Research, a prestigious nonprofit organization that has kept the official score on the US economy’s business cycles. The “bureau’s” definition is based on more refined tests and measurements. Yet, for the most part, The National Bureau of Economic Research arrives at the same conclusions as the press and Las Vegas odds-makers did when it applies it’s own definition. Which states: “An economic recession is a recurring period of decline in total output, income, employment, and trade usually lasting six months to a year and marked by widespread fluctuations in the economy.”
As time went on, economist these days had discovered and defined a new species of economic recession called a “mini” or “growth-recession” which the current Bush Administration says best describes on what is happening to the US economy right now. Even though most Americans – especially those under the age of 30 – think that the credit crunch is a new and recent phenomena that only came to life near the end of July 2007. But the credit crunch did happen way before, back in 1966 to 1967, when the American people had to live with a “growth-recession” when a credit crunch curtailed housing starts and shaved 20% off stock prices. A mini or growth-recession is defined as follows: When output and employment grow for half a year or more at significantly less than their average trend rate of growth, an economy is in a “growth-recession”, even if actual growth rates never turn negative.
Even though American billionaire and now the world’s richest man Warren Buffett and the financial firm Merrill Lynch both said that the US economy is already experiencing recession at the start of 2008. The Bush Administration still insists that the US economy is only undergoing a slow down and can be easily cured with an Economic Stimulus Package. Does the Bush Administration dread the use of the “R” word (recession) because they think it will cause widespread panic? But the US economy is indeed now experiencing full blown recession because 2008 jobless rates are at a five year high, home repossessions are on the rise, Wall Street shaky as world markets watch. Plus the price of crude oil and basic foods now at a record high is not helping matters either.
As the US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke slash interest rates further and the Economic Stimulus Package planned to be increased to 200 billion US dollars - the latest ones in the form of "auctions" that could well undermine a financial firm's credit rating, will all of these measures be able to turn around the ailing US economy from sliding further into a deep recession? It’s a bit iffy, because as the US Federal Reserve makes cheaper still the cost of borrowing money, the “financially inept” – sorry to say – will be driven further into debt. This is so because its primarily due to greed driven foolhardy decisions that drove these people to concoct get rich quick schemes that started all this mess in the first place. Unless an epidemic of “financial enlightenment” sweeps across the United States, bankruptcy courts will be standing room only beginning 2008.
By: Ringo Bones and Vanessa Uy
One time honored wisdom states that if America sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold. A colorful phrase used to describe economic recession and the primary reason why the rest of the world lives in fear – especially countries who exports most of their products to the US - every time the US economy heads into a downturn. But come 2008, the question on everyone’s minds still remains: Is the US economy already in recession?
But what is an economic recession? Who decides? For years, the press and the Las Vegas odds-makers had adopted this simple pragmatic definition: When the real Gross National Product (total value of all goods and services, corrected for inflationary price rises) declines for two quarters (6 months) in a row – that is an economic recession. This rough definition is adequate for most purposes, and surely more “refined” than its "blue collar" counterpart which states: When your neighbor looses his job, its only economic slowdown, when you loose your job, it’s a full blown economic recession.
Another definition of economic recession that is formulated by The National Bureau of Economic Research, a prestigious nonprofit organization that has kept the official score on the US economy’s business cycles. The “bureau’s” definition is based on more refined tests and measurements. Yet, for the most part, The National Bureau of Economic Research arrives at the same conclusions as the press and Las Vegas odds-makers did when it applies it’s own definition. Which states: “An economic recession is a recurring period of decline in total output, income, employment, and trade usually lasting six months to a year and marked by widespread fluctuations in the economy.”
As time went on, economist these days had discovered and defined a new species of economic recession called a “mini” or “growth-recession” which the current Bush Administration says best describes on what is happening to the US economy right now. Even though most Americans – especially those under the age of 30 – think that the credit crunch is a new and recent phenomena that only came to life near the end of July 2007. But the credit crunch did happen way before, back in 1966 to 1967, when the American people had to live with a “growth-recession” when a credit crunch curtailed housing starts and shaved 20% off stock prices. A mini or growth-recession is defined as follows: When output and employment grow for half a year or more at significantly less than their average trend rate of growth, an economy is in a “growth-recession”, even if actual growth rates never turn negative.
Even though American billionaire and now the world’s richest man Warren Buffett and the financial firm Merrill Lynch both said that the US economy is already experiencing recession at the start of 2008. The Bush Administration still insists that the US economy is only undergoing a slow down and can be easily cured with an Economic Stimulus Package. Does the Bush Administration dread the use of the “R” word (recession) because they think it will cause widespread panic? But the US economy is indeed now experiencing full blown recession because 2008 jobless rates are at a five year high, home repossessions are on the rise, Wall Street shaky as world markets watch. Plus the price of crude oil and basic foods now at a record high is not helping matters either.
As the US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke slash interest rates further and the Economic Stimulus Package planned to be increased to 200 billion US dollars - the latest ones in the form of "auctions" that could well undermine a financial firm's credit rating, will all of these measures be able to turn around the ailing US economy from sliding further into a deep recession? It’s a bit iffy, because as the US Federal Reserve makes cheaper still the cost of borrowing money, the “financially inept” – sorry to say – will be driven further into debt. This is so because its primarily due to greed driven foolhardy decisions that drove these people to concoct get rich quick schemes that started all this mess in the first place. Unless an epidemic of “financial enlightenment” sweeps across the United States, bankruptcy courts will be standing room only beginning 2008.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
