Even though there’s been an incremental ratcheting up of
sanctions ever since Russian President Vladimir Putin unlawfully annexed Crimea
after the Sochi Winter Olympics, are the EU sanctions against Russia
economically viable?
By: Ringo Bones
Maybe the question could have been “economically viable to
whom?”But ever since the E.U.’s economic sanctions against Russian President
Vladimir Putin unlawfully annexing Crimea and secretly supporting the armed
insurrection by ethnic Russians in the eastern part of Ukraine that eventually
resulted in the Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 as the “collateral damage” of
the conflict had been incrementally ratcheted up in order to bring Putin’s
regime back from the brink, it seems that not all of the European Union
countries are unified against Putin’s ongoing military adventurism in eastern
Ukraine.
While the sanctions now centers on the ban of the Russian
government exporting “dual-use” technologies that can potentially be used by
its ongoing military adventurism in the eastern part of Ukraine, Russia will
undoubtedly react to the E.U. sanctions by restricting the country’s natural
gas imports to Western Europe given that the chill of winter is only a couple
of months away. But many “well-off” E.U. states that are dependent of cheap
Russian natural gas are still “sticking to their guns” when it comes to
carrying on the economic sanctions until the rule of law returns to the Russian
– Ukraine territorial dispute.
Even though majority of E.U. countries favor economic
sanctions against Russia despite of the resulting overall economic slowdown,
the Czech Republic and Hungary seems to be leaning towards Vladimir Putin’s
Russia. From the agricultural trade perspective, Russia comprises 10-percent of
the overall purchase of all agricultural goods produced in the E.U. that’s
worth around 15.8 billion U.S. dollars and it initiated a “slight” worry by
Poland’s apple producers who exports most of their produce to Russia. By way of
comparison, the United States only sells 1.3 billion U.S. dollars worth of its
agricultural products to Russia. During the last few weeks, the E.U.
Agricultural Commission had launched a task force to analyze the long-term
economic impact of the Russian trade sanctions. Would the E.U. decide to
continue to ratchet up the sanctions against Russia to bring it back from the
brink – or will the E.U. decide to do a more pro-active response if it finds
out that a decisive military strike is more economically viable to end the East
Ukraine conflict than trade sanctions?
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