Even though the last time economists heard of it was
probably in their history courses back in college, are perpetual bonds an
economically viable solution to the current Greek debt crisis?
By: Ringo Bones
When the “radical left-wing” SYRIZA Party won a majority of
seats during the January 25, 2015 Greek Legislative Election, the European
Union powers-that-be at Brussels got scared given that SYRIZA’s party leader
Alexis Tsipras was a well-known left-leaning politician running on an anti
austerity platform that got him elected with an overwhelming majority. Several
days after the January 26 swearing in of Tsipras as the new Greek Prime
Minister, fears of a “Greek Eurozone Exit” died down after the new Greek prime
minister decided to cooperate with the EU to pay its debts but in a manner that
would lessen the current austerity measures imposed on the country by Brussels,
could perpetual bonds provide an economically viable – and a less austere
option for Greece to pay off its debts?
Perpetual bonds are a kind of bond with no maturity date
therefore it may be treated as equity, not as debt. Perpetual bonds are not
redeemable but pay a steady stream of interest forever. Some of the only
notable perpetual bonds in existence are those that were issued by the British
Treasury to pay off smaller issues used to finance the Napoleonic Wars back in
1814 – hence the college history class connection of when might current tenured
economist had last heard of such bonds. Some top economists in the United
States believe that it would be more efficient for the government to issue
perpetual bonds, which may help it avoid the refinancing costs associated with
bond issues that have maturity dates. A perpetual bond is also known as “consol”,
“perpetual” or just “perp”.
Since perpetual bond payments are similar to stock dividend
payments – as they both offer some sort of return for an indefinite period of
time – it is logical that they would be priced the same way. The price of a
perpetual bond is therefore the fixed interest payment, or coupon amount,
divided by some discount rate, which represents the speed at which money loses
value over time – partly due to inflation. The discount rate denominator
reduces the real value of the nominally fixed coupon amounts over time
eventually making this value equal to zero. As such perpetual bonds, even
though they pay interest forever, can be assigned a finite value, which in turn
represents their price. In exchange for the loans, the issuer agrees to make
interest payments to the bond buyer for a specific time period.
A variety of risks are associated with perpetual bonds. Perhaps
the most notable is that a perpetual period is a long time to carry on credit
risks. As time passes, bond issuers, including both governments and
corporations, can get into financial trouble and even fail. Perpetual bonds may
also be subject to “call risk”, which means that the issuer can recall them.
1 comment:
Given the inherent risks associated with perpetual bonds, Greece will be screwed if a NAZI like organization manages to take over - or gets voted into - the European Union's Brussels headquarters.
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